Solana December 2025 Prediction: Will the Market Force SOL Up or Hold It Limit?

Recent supply, inflation, user activity, and trading volume data provide a better idea of where Solana could be going in this December. This outlook provides investors with increased certainty by using more recent market data rather than speculation when making plans to act at the end of the year. 

Introduction and What Is New in the Market

According to on-chain issue trackers, Solana is currently in circulation, with a supply of approximately $561 million SOL and $616 million SOL. The current market price of SOL is within the range of $130, and the volume of trade is supported by the fact that SOL trades approximately $6.1 billion per day, with a market capitalization of $78 billion USD. This implies that the market is highly liquid and has high turnover rate that will give the larger traders and the institutions a chance to operate well.

One of the largest structural problems is still inflation. Solana supply is also high and it is estimated at 4.13% per annum. The sustained demand is the fact that there is a demand to maintain the same prices of the new tokens because they are manufactured in the market every minute.

The most suitable example of such demand will be user activity. The data sources at the disposal of the text include the TokenTerminal because the number of active users per day can be regarded to have fallen following the memecoin boom. Temporary weakening of the power of transactions in this respect will not consist in the destruction of the structural structure.

This is very contrasting in the figures in a week and month: MAU is still significantly higher than the figures in October in number per month which indicates that the high number of users is not being wasted on the decreasing number of speculative market activity.

These are rather required in terms of prediction considering the fact that they are more stable versions of users. The new issue will be assimilated and increase the prevalent price rates through the assistance of consistent WAU and MAU. They show that it is not a tear-off market (on hype) but more of a need. The less the DAU can be subjected to the work of the effort of sketching the forthcoming increments, the more the network of activities is well established.

The difference between the image of Solana in December and the liquidity proliferation, foreseeability of problems and strength of the middle-term use, and effective operation of administration is not very high.

Solana's Daily Active Users Chart 2025. (Source: Token Terminal)

Why SOL Still Beholds Structural Strength

Broad-based Listing and Breadth Positioning

There is underestimation of the Solana liquidity and size. The promotion of massive assets is also an incentive of market makers, high volume traders, and institutions, and therefore, maintains the tightness of the spread and the degree of slips. This will help in stabilizing the trading in the larger market flow.

Stoking, Low Floating Reserve

SOL owns it in great numbers and the demand is not easily available. This will assist in the maintenance of the price power at high-selling-pressure stages and will serve as a pointer of the long-term confidence levels among the members within the network.

Network Architecture and Network Development

The exceptionally high throughput, the speed and the relatively low charges of Solana have remained to attract the constructors particularly those with consumer levels. The optimization of infrastructure and validation is being done even at the time when the demand is low. These have all turned into long term environmental commitments and not a hype cycle.

Short-Term Factors that are Stalling SOL

Cooling On-chain Activity

Active addresses have decreased compared to previous peaks, burn of organic fees and decreased the daily network demand.

Non-goal-oriented Money Creation

The further generation of new supply at an average rate of 4% per year will be able to impose on the prices when the demand increases at a low rate.

Macro and Crypto-wide Correlation

SOL continues to move in line with the general market conditions. Risk-off periods have negative correlations with altcoins and the price dynamics of Solana have seen the reflection of such trends.

Two Realistic Scenarios: December Revised Prognosis

CoinMarketCap is showing that SOL was around $138 at the end of December. Such are the results in the situation of a real market.

Base Case Competitive to Positive

When considering the macro shocks will not take place, there are no mega-coordinated unlocks, no volumes, the on-chain activity will be increased in a positive way, SOL will be able to increase by 3-12%. This is the end of the month $137-$150.

Gains made on a series are made available to a satisfactory level in case of the demand since it is a volume of committed supply and fixed spot liquidity.

Bullish Case: Altcoins Repetition Demand Recovery

As the capital will start moving out of the BTC and onto the altcoins and on-chain action, DeFi, NFTs, and dApps will start gaining momentum, without any significant unlock event, SOL can only continue to gain more momentum.

The shutting down of about 15-25% would be reasonable based on the increment of the number of active addresses and quantity of the day to a considerable level to reach the price of $155-$170 range. The origin of the power can be even further distant.

CoinMinutes’ Take

Solana enters December with a highly liquid ecosystem and consistent presence in the market that trends towards a modest upside in the event that the sentiment does not change. However, slowing down on-chain action and continuous inflation means that any explosive breakouts will need to have an apparent cause.

The realistic range of the stable condition lies between $137 to $150, but a stronger demand can be up to $155 - $170. In order to change the expectations in real time, investors will have to continue following the volume trends, Bitcoin dominance, and network activity since these parameters will determine the extent to which this data-driven Solana price prediction will be accurate.

Disclaimer: This market analysis is for informational purposes only, NOT financial advice. Cryptocurrency is a high-risk game. Never invest money you cannot afford to lose, and always do your own research (DYOR).